A major, long duration solar flare measuring X1.1 at its peak time erupted on October 19, 2014. The source was large Active Region 2192 (beta-gamma) located in the southeast quadrant. The event started at 04:17, peaked at 05:03 and ended at 05:48 UTC.
The region is still not in favorable position for Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections but this will change in the coming days as the region rotates toward the center of the disk.
Region 2192 already produced several significant eruptions and sent a massive CME into the space as it was transiting onto the Earth side.
NOAA SWPC forecasters estimate 55% chance for M-class, and 15% chance for X-class solar flare in the next two days.
Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 104
Issue Time: 2014 Oct 19 0555 UTC
SUMMARY: X-ray Event exc...
